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Not to mention that forks are never developed in isolation. If you release the source to a project that's still ongoing, you're going to get called upon by anybody who has an issue with it while you're still trying to get it sorted out yourself. (Yes, it can also mean more manpower for debugging or even development, but there's still an issue of organizational complexity, because changes don't get cleaned up and merged by the power of magical pixie dust.) Even if you're planning to open-source it eventually, I can see the sense in holding off until a later alpha or early beta.
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